The Prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis Relapse following COVID-19 infection vs COVID-19 Vaccine

Document Type : Review Article

Authors

1 School of Medicine, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran

2 Clinical Neurology Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran

Abstract

Background: Microbial infections can induce immune responses and exacerbate the symptoms of patients with autoinflammatory diseases such as multiple sclerosis (MS). Several studies have suggested that COVID-19 infection could exacerbate MS symptoms and promote relapse. Although, COVID-19 vaccination is the primary strategy to prevent and decrease infection COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy has been observed among MS patients due to concerns about vaccine safety and its adverse effects. we designed this systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the prevalence of relapses in MS patients following COVID-19 infection and vaccination.
Methods: We systematically searched four databases including, PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase. We included any cohort, case-control, or cross-sectional study about the relapse rate in MS patients following either COVID-19 infection or COVID vaccination.
Results: After screening 21 studies met our inclusion criteria and entered our systematic review and meta-analysis. The prevalence of acute relapse following COVID-19 vaccine was 2% (95% CI 2%-3%) (Figure 2) which was lower compared to the prevalence of relapse following COVID-19 infection 7% (95% CI 4%-12%). Moreover, the prevalence of pseudo relapse among 4 studies was 5% (95% CI 2%-11%).
Conclusion: Our findings demonstrate that the prevalence of MS exacerbation is much higher following COVID-19 infection compared with COVID vaccination. Although there is no strong link between COVID-19 vaccination and MS exacerbation, it is recommended that these patients consult with healthcare professionals to determine the best course of action for their needs.

Keywords

Main Subjects

Introduction

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory and demyelinating disease of the central nervous system (CNS) (1). In certain conditions such as systemic inflammation pro-inflammatory cytokines could be released which will affect the neural activity and worsen the damage to the CNS in the presence of a neurodegenerative disease such as MS (2, 3). It has been observed that the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) which is responsible for the COVID-19 infection, can trigger an immune response by activating the innate and adaptive immune system and the overproduction of inflammatory cytokines (4). Microbial infections can induce immune responses not only for their own specific antigen (Ag), but can also trigger responses against self-Ags which results in inflammation (5, 6). Previous studies have suggested a strong relationship between viral infections and clinical expression of MS (7-10).

The immune system dysregulation which leads to organ damage in autoimmune disease can also be seen in COVID-19 (11). Reports have shown that Guillain-Barre syndrome, autoimmune thyroid disease, and detection of autoantibodies in COVID-19 infected individuals are some of the autoimmune complications associated with COVID-19 (12).

Figure 1. From: Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG, The PRISMA Group (2009). Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: The PRISMA Statement. PLoS Med 6(6): e1000097. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed1000097.

Figure 1. From: Moher D, Liberati A, Tetzlaff J, Altman DG, The PRISMA Group (2009). Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: The PRISMA Statement. PLoS Med 6(6): e1000097. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed1000097.

Results about the relapse rate of MS following COVID-19 infection varies among studies.  A number of studies have suggested that COVID-19 infection could exacerbate MS symptoms and promote relapse (13, 14). For example, in a case report by Paolo et al. a patient with reduced visual acuity and demyelinating lesions in MRI of the CNS following COVID-19 infection was reported (15) while Etemadifar et al. found that COVID-19 infection showed no association with increased risk of relapse (16).

COVID-19 vaccination is the main strategy to prevent COVID infection, especially in at-risk people such as MS patients (17). Numerous studies and case reports have demonstrated the presence of autoantibodies and autoimmune complications like neuropathy and demyelination following vaccination (18, 19).

Since there has been evidence of acute MS relapse following vaccination concerns raised about the safety of different COVID vaccines among MS patients (20, 21). A recent study by Fragoso et al. has observed increased relapse rate and new lesions on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of MS patients following vaccination (22). Based on these findings we designed this systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the prevalence of relapses in MS patients following COVID-19 infection and vaccination.

Methods

The meta-analysis was conducted following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline (23).

Search strategy

We systematically searched four databases including, PubMed, web of science, Scopus, and Embase in January 2023. For our search strategy we used the following terms: (Multiple sclerosis) AND (COVID-19 OR SARS-COV-2 OR corona virus OR coronavirus disease OR 2019-nCoV Disease) AND (Vaccination OR Vaccine OR immunization).

Inclusion criteria

we included any cohort, case-control or cross-sectional study about the relapse rate in MS patients following either COVID infection or COVID vaccination.

Exclusion criteria

The non-English papers, studies investigating the vaccination for other virus in MS patients, review and case report articles were excluded.

Study selection

Two reviewers (MB, MM) screened the articles in a two-step process. First, reviewers screened title and abstracts of the retrieved articles according to the inclusion criteria and in the second step the same reviewers assessed the full text of the chosen articles based on the predefined criteria.

Quality assessments

The quality of the included articles was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). Risk of bias of studies assessed in the selection, comparability, and exposure with the highest possible score of 8.

Table 1.

Author

Year

Continent

Region

study design

mean ag(SD)

total patients

male patients

type of MS

disease duration

follow-up time

base EDSS

acute relapses

name of vaccine

 

Achiron et al.

2021

Asia

Israel

Cohort

NM

555

342

RIS:7, CIS:39, RRMS:694,SPMS:162, PPMS:88

15.2(median

38 days 1st dose, 20 days 2nd dose

 

8 by 1st dose, 5 by 2nd dose

Pfizer/BioNTech

 

Sahraian et al.

2021

Asia

Iran

Observational study

36.2

579

130

RRMS:442, SPMS:112, PPMS:20

NM

NM

3

5

Sinopharm vaccine

 

Philbey et al.

2021

Europe

England

Observational study

50

33

14

RRMS:19, SPMS:9, PPMS:5

NM

7 days

4

0

AstraZeneca:29, BioNTech/Pfizer:4

 

Philbey et al.

2022

Europe

England

Cohort

47.4

193

66

RRMS:147, PPMS:16, SPMS:30

12(median)

21 days 1st dose, 49 days 2nd dose

3.5

4

Pfizer/BioNTech:49, AstraZeneca:144

 

Alonso et al.

2021

South america

Latin america

Cross-sectional study

41.5

393

69

RRMS:310 ,SPMS:12 ,PPMS:28, Unknown to participant:43

8.5±8.2

NM

4

5

Pfizer/BioNTech:49, Moderna:2, CoronaVac/Sinovac:80, Sinopharm:70, Sputnik V:116, Covishield:33, Oxford AztraZeneca:42, Johnson & Johnson:1

 

Maniscalco et al.

2022

Europe

Italy

retrospective observational study

45.9

310

115

RRMS:270
SPMS:32
PPMS:8

11.8

20 days

 

first dose:3
second dose:2

Pfizer/BioNTech

 

Kong et al.

2022

Asia

China

cohort

35.85±9.38

78

31

RRMS

4.59

9.4 months

NM

4

inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccine

 

Czarnowska et al.

2022

eurpe

poland

cohort

42.61

2261

667

RRMS:2149
PPMS:52
SPMS:60

9.48±6.35

NM

2.4±1.45

99

Pfizer/BioNTech:1684
Oxford, AstraZeneca:264
Moderna:178
Johnson & Johnson:135

 

Di Filippo et al.

2021

europe

Italy

cohort

42.7±10.8

324

82

RRMS:303
SPMS:15
PPMS:6

11.9±8.5

2 months

2.1±1.5

7

Pfizer/BioNTech

 

Kavosh et al.

2022

Asia

Iran

cross-sectional

40.45 ± 9.74

1538

387

NM

10.38 ± 6.81

NM

2.06 ± 3.16

first dose:10
second dose:13

Sinopharm

 

Frahm et al.

2022

Europe

germany

longitudinal observational study

45.7 ±11.4

2346

503

RRMS:1749
SPMS:403
PPMS:92
undefined:102

NM

2 months

NM

first dose:79
second dose:53
both:9

BioNTech/ Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Johnson&Johnson

 

Alster et al.

2022

Asia

Israel

Cohort

NM

211

80

CIS:7
RRMS:126
SPMS:42
PPMS:36

16.65 years median

66 days

NM

7

Pfizer/BioNTech

 

Czarnowska et al.

2022

Europe

poland

Cohort

41.88

1668

459

RRMS:1585
SPMS:42
PPMS:41

9.44 years

7 months

2.36

67

Pfizer/BioNTech:1215
Oxford-Astra Zeneca:223
Moderna:155
Johnson & Johnson:75

 

Ciampi et al.

2022

South america

chile

Cohort

39.7 ± 11.2

178

57

RRMS:152
SPMS:26

7.4 ± 6.5

1 year

2

4

Coronavac-Sinovac:123
Pfizer/BioNTech:51
adenoviral vector vaccines:4

 

Alroughani et al.

2022

Asia

Kuwait

Cohort

36.82 + 8.80

383

136

NM

36.82 + 8.80

NM

3

5

Pfizer/BioNTech:225
AstraZeneca:158

 

NM, not mentined

 

Statistical analysis

Analysis was performed using “meta” and “metafor” packages in R 4.2.2. A random effect model was conducted for all analyses considering high heterogeneity between studies. Heterogeneity was assessed using Q, Ƭ2, and I2 statistics. For all metrics overall proportion was calculated (using Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation). If enough data was available the difference between dose one and dose two was also investigated.

 

Results

Study selection

A total of 947 articles were identified via a search in the electronic databases (Figure 1). 151 articles met our inclusion criteria after the first step of screening. After a full-text review, 130 articles were excluded and 21 articles were included in the present meta-analysis. Selected studies are grouped into two groups: acute relapses of MS after COVID infection and COVID vaccination.

Characteristics of included studies and a qualitative summary

The characteristics of included studies are described in Table 1 and Table 2. We identified 21 observational studies with a total of 11546 MS patients. The included studies were conducted in 2021 and 2022 during the COVID pandemic. Overall, 8, 10, and 3 studies were from Europe, Asia, and America, respectively. studies in Table 1 investigated the relapse and adverse events in MS patients vaccinated with different vaccines, either mRNA vaccines or inactivated vaccines. Most patients were vaccinated with the first dose or both first and second doses, however, one study reported the events following administration of the third dose in MS patients. All included studies were determined to be high quality with a mean score of 7.76 for 21 studies (Table 3). The quality of studies assessed using NOS is presented in Supplementary 1.

Meta-analysis

The prevalence of acute relapse following COVID vaccine was 2% (95% CI 2%-3%) (Figure 2) which was lower compared to the prevalence of relapse following COVID infection 7% (95% CI 4%-12%) (Figure2). The prevalence of pseudo relapse (a transient increase in MS symptoms following vaccination) among 4 studies was 5% (95% CI 2%-11%) (Figure 3).

Figure 2. The prevalence of acute relapses following covid infection (right) and COVID-19 vaccine (left) in MS patients.

Figure 2. The prevalence of acute relapses following COVID-19 infection (right) and COVID-19 vaccine (left) in MS patients.

Figure 3. The prevalence of pseudorelapses  following vaccination in MS patients.

Figure 3. The prevalence of pseudorelapses  following vaccination in MS patients.

 

Table 2

Author

Year

Continent

Region

study design

mean ag(SD)

total patients

male patients

type of MS

MS duration

follow-up time

base EDSS

patients with MRI emhancements

relapses

 

Bsteh et al.

2022

europe

Austria

cohort

42.6

211

65

RRMS:170

12.1

6 months

1.5

NM

24

 

SPMS:30

 

PPMS:11

 

Etemadifar et al.

2021

Asia

Iran

retrospective cohort

36.89 ±9.06

56

15

RRMS

7.76 ±5.07

6 months

1.5

NM

4

 

Rahmani et al.

2022

Asia

Iran

case-control

37.6 ±9.23

52

13

RRMS

52 months

6 months

2.07 ±1.87

4

6

 

Conway et al.

2022

America

USA

retrospective cohort

49.3±12.2

111

26

RRMS:72

13.1± 9.6

17.1 ±13.6

2.5

5

2

 

CIS:2

 

SPMS:21

 

PPMS:8

 

Barzegar et al.

2021

Asia

Iran

retrospective observational study

35.10±9.20

41

10

RRMS

7

2 years

0

NM

32

 

Paybast et al.

2022

Asia

Iran

cross-sectional

37.45 ± 8.768

25

5

CIS:1

NM

NM

1.77 ± 1.52

NM

1

 

 

PPMS:1

 

SPMS:4

 

RRMS:19

 

 

Discussion

In this meta-analysis, we found that relapse rate after COVID vaccination is substantially lower than after COVID infection which was in line with our assumption of the safety of COVID-19 regarding MS relapse.

Although, several studies demonstrated the effectiveness of COVID-19 in reducing severe illness and death, there is a risk of unexpected side effects due to the way the vaccines interact with the body's immune system. This can lead to inflammatory reactions or worsening of autoimmune diseases like multiple sclerosis shortly after vaccination (24). It is essential to include patients with autoimmune diseases such as MS in clinical trials to ensure that the vaccines are effective and safe for everyone. Without their participation, the vaccines' effectiveness for MS population will remain uncertain, leaving them vulnerable to the virus's severe effects (25). Although, MS patients are anxious about how their condition or their therapies might impact the safety of the COVID-19 vaccines, patients on DMTs are not at a higher risk of experiencing COVID-19 with severe symptoms (26). Multiple sclerosis (MS) patients treated with fingolimod and ocrelizumab may have a reduced immune response, making it important to monitor their SARS-CoV-2 antibody titer after vaccination. This will help preserve the efficacy of the vaccine and ensure that the patients are protected against the virus.

It is more likely that MS patients will suffer from the consequences of the infection, such as acute MS relapse and exacerbation, rather than a severe immune response following vaccination. Therefore, it is crucial for MS patients to take precautions and get vaccinated to protect themselves from the virus (27). Recent studies have suggested that non-live SARS-CoV-2 vaccines may be a safe option for individuals with multiple sclerosis (MS) who are not experiencing an active phase of the disease. Despite research that has disproven any link between vaccination and MS relapses, concerns still persist. Although, MS patients may be hesitant to get vaccinated due to the fear of exacerbating their symptoms, experts suggest these patients to be vaccinated (28).

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought about a global effort to develop vaccines against the virus which have been demonstrated to be effective in preventing acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and other severe consequences. neurological side effects of SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations have been of concern, especially for those with MS. Most of these side effects are mild and self-limiting, but in some instances, they can be severe enough to require admission to hospital or intensive care unit (ICU). The most common neurological side effect by far is headache followed by cases of Guillain-Barre syndrome (GBS) and venous sinus thrombosis (VST) (29).

Some studies also suggest that post-vaccination demyelination is probably playing a crucial role in relapses and pseudo-relapses of MS patients getting vaccinated (30). The majority of these CNS demyelination cases which are assumed to be vaccine-induced are likely to be a pre-existing or previously unrecognized MS. Autoimmunity after vaccination is a common phenomenon, and two theories that explain this are cross-reactivity and bystander activation. Depending on the type of vaccine, these mechanisms can be more or less relevant. In the case of mRNA vaccines such as Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine, cross-reactivity may be the cause. This is due to the similarity between the COVID-19 spike protein antibody and myelin basic protein, a protein found in the nervous system that helps insulate nerve fibers. Moreover, the interaction between spike proteins and Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors located in the Blood-Brain Barrier (BBB) and spinal neurons has been reported in several studies. This interaction can lead to bystander activation, where the immune system attacks healthy cells that are not infected with the virus (31).

Achiron et al. conducted a cohort study in 2021 to evaluate the safety of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine in MS patients and found that MS patients had similar rates of adverse reactions to what has been reported in the general healthy population following vaccination. No increased risk of relapse activity was observed over a median follow-up of 20 and 38 days after the first and second vaccine doses, respectively. Although, a mild increase in the rate of adverse events has been observed in younger patients and those treated with immunomodulatory drugs, the relapse rate following vaccination was similar compared to the 3-year relapse rate prior to vaccination. Overall, these findings support the safety of COVID-19 vaccination in patients with MS (32) In contrast with these findings a case series presented reactivation cases of MS after administration of COVID vaccine (AstraZeneca and Pfizer-BioNTech). all relapses were clinically and radiologically confirmed and 3 out of 16 presented MS cases have received diagnosis after COVID vaccination (33).

Limitations

An important factor to be considered is the vaccination of MS patients with DMTs because Some DMTs with immunosuppressive effects on vaccine humoral responses, especially S1P modulators and B-cell depleting therapies have the potential to attenuate the post-vaccination adverse auto immune events by controlling the immune system reaction after the vaccine and diminish the rate of CNS inflammation and demyelination. on the other hand, some DMTs decrease the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines. But the patients often achieve sufficient levels of protective antibodies against COVID-19. (34) . individual circumstances (risk factors, age, MS disease progression and phase, prognosis, and lymphocyte count) should be considered when it comes to optimizing vaccine efficacy. More specific investigations may be issued to recognize the effect of DMT regimen type on post-vaccination MS relapse rate (26).

Formal registries of the type of DMT administered and adjusting the study sample of vaccinated MS patients for their DMT Regimen in the analysis (which unfortunately hasn`t been done in the analyzed studies) and concomitant usage of DMTs that attenuate the autoimmune reactions after vaccination seem to be several helpful steps in protection against vaccine-associated relapses of MS. So, each case needs to be handled analyzed more carefully. 

Another important limitation of studying MS relapse rates is the lag between the onset of the initial symptoms and the final diagnosis.  This can vary depending on individual health-seeking behavior, healthcare systems, and diagnostic techniques. As a result, post-vaccination relapse rates were found to be higher in younger patients in a recent study with a longer follow-up period. However, studies with short follow-ups may overlook potential associations, while those with too-long follow-ups may dilute or falsely associate triggers with MS relapse. Therefore, it is important to consider the duration of follow-up in MS relapse studies to avoid overlooking or overemphasizing potential associations. So far, studies have confirmed that COVID-19 vaccination is generally well-tolerated in MS patients regardless of the type of vaccine used and should be recommended to all patients regardless of their current DMTs (35).

Conclusion

The advantages of COVID-19 vaccination for MS patients exceed any potential risks. The vaccines produced by Moderna, Pfizer-BioNTech, Oxford-AstraZeneca, and Janssen have been seemed safe for use in MS patients. In fact, MS patients are a priority group for vaccination in the UK. Although, there is no strong link between COVID-19 vaccination and the occurrence or exacerbation of MS, patients experiencing MS exacerbations should wait until their neurological status stabilizes before receiving the vaccine. MS patients should consult with healthcare professionals to determine the best course of action for their needs (36). Taken together, our findings provide an overall safety information in terms of MS relapse for COVID-19 vaccination in patients with MS.

 

Deceleration

 

Funding

We do not have any financial support for this study.

 

Conflict of interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest regarding the publication of this paper.

 

Availability of data and material

The datasets analyzed during the current study are available upon request with no restriction.

 

Consent for publication

This manuscript has been approved for publication by all authors.

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Volume 3, Issue 1
January 2024
Pages 3-11
  • Receive Date: 05 October 2023
  • Accept Date: 30 October 2023